Positive retained-time deltas across sport profiles
90-day and 365-day retained-time deltas remain close, showing that the horizon extension did not reverse the result pattern.
Evidence command center
Three Monte Carlo branches. One LAKANA stack.
This page is the public evidence surface for LAKANA’s completed simulation work. It separates the completed Monte Carlo results from the live Proof Theater and from commercialization pitch material. The evidence base is organized around three different runs: SSI for structural human-safety pathways, SOS/CivOS for civilian safety architecture under degraded-state stress, and W-X/WX-Ag for empirical weather, soil, ground-state, and agronomic truth support.
// 01 — completed run inventory
The three Monte Carlo branches
Each run answered a different evidence question and supports a different part of the LAKANA stack.
| Run branch | Primary question | Design | Scale / public status | Stack evidence produced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSI Public Research Suite v2.0 / Journal Candidate J2 | Can a deterministic structural-load policy shift retained time, burden movement, terminal-proxy behavior, sensitivity behavior, and public evidence governance without raw-subject exposure? | Two-arm Monte Carlo comparing SSI policy against a non-LAKANA comparator across five sport profiles and thirteen sport-position strata. | B=390 whole-frame precision units; B=180 female-stack companion scope; retained-time results at 90 and 365 simulator-day horizons. | SSI, TSARO/NICOLE governance boundary, SSES post-run evidence discipline, role-scoped bounded telemetry release. |
| SOS v71 final core connected empirical Monte Carlo | Does the full civilian safety architecture preserve simulator-defined protected outcomes under separated comparison suites and degraded-state stress? | Three controlled suites: shared-detector delivery/infrastructure, shared-transport detector trade-space, and end-to-end integration. | 250,000 nominal trials and 500,000 degraded-state trials; final core evidence basis for SOS public materials. | SOS, CivOS, delivery infrastructure, BFB need/delivery path, degradation robustness, architecture attribution discipline. |
| W-X / WX-Ag empirical Monte Carlo v10 full run | Can empirical weather, SOC/soil baseline, SSURGO/effective soil, and agronomic scenario forcing support physics-bounded WX-Ag outcomes across stress scenarios? | 16-scenario empirical Monte Carlo with publication tables, figure-source CSVs, scenario manifest, empirical connectivity summary, and public-safe provenance. | 20,000,000 simulated trajectories; empirical release gate passed; empirical connectivity and resolution full/full. | W-X, WX-Ag, empirical support resolution, environmental truthfulness, soil/water/field-state context, authority and burden diagnostics. |
// 02 — how the Monte Carlos were built
Monte Carlo construction process
The runs were not generic random simulations. Each branch was built around controlled comparison, explicit state variables, scenario forcing, reproducible seeds, aggregation, sensitivity checks, and post-run claim gates.
1Question lock
Each branch began with a bounded evidence question: structural-load pathway behavior for SSI, protected-outcome architecture behavior for SOS, and empirical environmental/agronomic support for W-X/WX-Ag.
2Comparator / scenario grammar
SSI used SSI versus comparator policy families. SOS separated detector, transport, and end-to-end suites. W-X/WX-Ag used baseline-probabilistic and deterministic policies across stress scenarios.
3State variables and mechanisms
Runs used explicit state mechanics instead of black-box prediction: retained time and burden for SSI, delivery/infrastructure and protected outcome for SOS, soil/water/weather/authority state for W-X/WX-Ag.
4Seeded execution and batching
The simulations used seeded trial execution, batch aggregation, reproducibility manifests, runtime summaries, and output hashes so that numerical claims could be tied to run artifacts rather than hand-edited summaries.
5Post-run evidence gates
Results were not automatically treated as public claims. Each branch preserved limitations, sensitivity/robustness checks, support-resolution status, and claim boundaries before public release.
// 03 — LAKANA stack evidence map
Evidence of the LAKANA stack
The point is not that one run proves everything. The stack evidence is distributed: each Monte Carlo branch tests a different layer.
W-X
Environmental truth layer
Supported by the W-X/WX-Ag v10 empirical run: empirical weather fraction, source support, authority shifts, and environmental validity burden.
WX-Ag
Agronomic extension
Supported by 16 empirical scenarios, SOC baseline resolution, SSURGO/effective soil resolution, anoxia burden, yield as secondary outcome, and scenario manifests.
SSI
Structural human-safety layer
Supported by retained-time, burden-delta precision, event-history, sensitivity, female-lane integrity, and SSES evidence-release discipline.
SOS / CivOS
Civilian safety substrate
Supported by architecture comparison, degraded-state stress, delivery/infrastructure separation, and CivOS versus non-CivOS protected-outcome contrast.
TSARO / NICOLE
Governance boundary
Represented as admissibility, fail-closed contraction, custody, decision accountability, append-only evidence logic, and claim eligibility gates.
BFB
Bounded responder bridge
Supported by the SOS architecture suite where BFB delivery given need separates LAKANA + CivOS from the industry comparator.
// 04 — headline result panels
Run-specific result evidence
The panels below keep each branch separate instead of blending very different metrics into one generic score.
SSI retained-time5 / 5
All five sport profiles reported positive retained-time deltas at both 90 and 365 simulator days.
SSI evidence governance0.9185
ELCI lineage-completeness score; paired with SAFE-N adjusted 0.7886 for public evidence sufficiency.
SOS architecture0.954636
Simulator-defined protected outcome for LAKANA + CivOS in the headline architecture comparison.
SOS degraded stress0.950753
LAKANA + CivOS under adversarial shared-detector delivery stress, compared with 0.782674 for industry.
W-X/WX-Ag scale20M
Total simulated trajectories across the v10 public-safe empirical Monte Carlo publication subset.
W-X/WX-Ag scenarios16
Scenario rows with empirical weather, SOC baseline, and SSURGO/effective soil support resolved.
WX-Ag timing shift+1248h
Largest median first-event timing shift relative to baseline in the public record.
WX-Ag anoxia burden-293.503d
Largest reported mean anoxia burden movement relative to baseline in the public record.
// 05 — run figures
Figure wall from the completed runs
These public-facing figures translate run outputs into reviewer-readable visual evidence. They are not Proof Theater animations; they summarize completed simulations.
CivOS contribution under separated architecture comparison
LAKANA + CivOS is separated from LAKANA without CivOS and the industry comparator; the stronger result appears under degraded stress.
Public release gate and support resolution
The v10 public record reports full empirical support across weather, SOC baseline, and soil support lanes.
Lane integrity with burden visibility
Female-stack results preserve women’s basketball, female soccer, and softball instead of pooling away lane structure.
// 06 — branch-by-branch method and result detail
Why each Monte Carlo exists
Each branch was designed for a different falsification pressure.
| Branch | Why this design | What was measured | Core results shown publicly | What it does for LAKANA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSI | Athlete and load-bearing worker safety cannot be evaluated only by terminal events or dashboards. SSI needed pathway evidence: retained time, managed burden, proxy movement, event-history coherence, sensitivity, and public-release discipline. | RMST-style retained time, block-level burden delta, terminal-proxy movement, female-lane outputs, event-history models, sensitivity/robustness, tail bookkeeping, SAFE-N, ELCI, SSES gates. | Positive retained-time deltas across all five sport profiles at 90 and 365 days; burden-delta precision interval [953,444.21, 1,205,922.71]; SAFE-N adjusted 0.7886; ELCI 0.9185; female-stack B=180 with 162 favorable and 18 managed-burden tradeoff blocks. | Shows the SSI branch as a structural-load evidence system, not a generic athlete monitor. It also shows that public evidence can be aggregate, pathway-level, and claim-bounded. |
| SOS / CivOS | A civilian safety architecture cannot be judged by one end-to-end number because detector behavior, delivery infrastructure, and full-stack composition can be confounded. SOS needed separated suites. | Simulator-defined protected outcome, conditional delivery given escalation, BFB delivery given need, shared-detector delivery, shared-transport detector trade-space, degraded/adversarial stress, replication and robustness diagnostics. | LAKANA + CivOS 0.954636 versus industry 0.947172 in headline nominal architecture comparison; BCa mean difference 0.007464 [0.007128, 0.007800]; under adversarial shared-detector delivery stress, LAKANA + CivOS 0.950753 versus industry 0.782674. | Shows the architecture value of CivOS/SOS under degradation and separates delivery/infrastructure contribution from detector-only interpretation. |
| W-X / WX-Ag | W-X/WX-Ag needed empirical forcing and source-resolution proof, because environmental and agronomic claims must be grounded in weather, soil, water, and support-status evidence rather than synthetic-only behavior. | Scenario timing, event incidence, mean degraded-valid burden, mean anoxia burden, authority shifts, empirical weather fraction, SOC baseline resolution, SSURGO/effective soil support, secondary yield movement, event taxonomy, public-safe provenance. | 16 scenarios; 20,000,000 trajectories; empirical release gate pass; empirical weather fraction 1.0, SOC baseline rate 1.0, SSURGO/effective soil support 1.0 across public rows; median first-event shift up to +1248 hours; mean anoxia burden movement down to -293.503 days; secondary yield increase range approximately +0.055926 to +0.226055. | Shows W-X/WX-Ag as an empirical environmental truth branch and supports the LAKANA claim that physics-bounded downstream systems need auditable source resolution. |
// 07 — page separation
Evidence, Proof Theater, and Pitch stay different
This separation makes the site more serious because each page has a unique job.
Evidence
Completed Monte Carlo results
Run design, scenario inventory, result tables, result figures, methods, support resolution, sensitivity, and claim boundaries.
Proof Theater
Live model and simulation surface
Sliders, athlete model, model bus, TSARO envelope, NICOLE append log, role-scoped outputs, and exportable session artifact.
Pitch
Commercialization translation
How research becomes pilots, product surfaces, buyer value, partner packages, and licensing or integration pathways.
Public boundary: This evidence page reports simulation-stage Monte Carlo evidence and public-safe result summaries. It does not claim field validation, clinical validation, injury-prevention proof, emergency-service replacement, production deployment, regulatory clearance, formal privacy/security certification, device validation, or guaranteed real-world performance. The correct reading is evidence discipline: completed simulations, transparent endpoints, source-resolution status, claim boundaries, and stack-level research support.